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* Australia was among top four wheat exporters before drought
* Wheat forecasts to rise if country’s west gets more rain
* Tractor sales at 40-year high
* Agricultural equipment financing surges
By Jonathan Barrett and Swati Pandey
SYDNEY, July 29 (Reuters) – Just months after rains broke Australia’s crippling three-year drought, fields of grain have sprung to life, lifting forecasts for a bumper wheat harvest and reviving the beaten up agricultural sector through roaring tractor sales and increased lending.
The mid-season crops in some of the country’s major eastern grain-growing areas are as lush as some industry veterans can remember, representing one of the few bright spots in the country’s pandemic-affected economy.
“I moved here 30 years ago, and I’ve never seen it this good. It is magnificent. It is wheat, barley, everywhere as far as your eye can see,” tractor dealer Roger Moylan said this week from Quirindi, a major grain-growing area in New South Wales (NSW) state.
Moylan, from North West Farm Machinery, said sales of tractors and augers, used to move grain from trucks into silos, were booming.
“If auger sales are through the roof, that tells you one thing – there is going to be grain everywhere,” he said.
Australia was one of the top four global wheat exporters before the unrelenting drought started slashing production.
The country’s chief commodity forecaster recently lifted its wheat production forecasts for 2020-21 to 26.7 million tonnes, more than 75% above the prior year’s level and the highest since Australia’s record 35.13 million tonnes in 2016–17.
Australia’s 10-year average is just over 24 million tonnes.
This year’s production could rise to as high as 30 million tonnes if export-focused Western Australia receives a good drenching in the next two months, said one Singapore-based trader at an international trading company that supplies Australian wheat to Asia.
Given most farmers won’t start harvesting until October at the earliest, there remains uncertainty over crop production, especially in Western Australia that does not currently have the high soil moisture levels of NSW.
Western Australia and NSW are the top two wheat-producing states in the country.
Lyndon Mickel, who has a 6,000 hectare farm near Esperance in Western Australia’s southern wheat belt, told Reuters that some recent rain had lifted spirits after a dry start to the season.
“We are sitting on a knife edge,” he said.
“If we can get some decent falls across the state in the next month we could come into a decent yield.”
Benchmark wheat prices earlier this year hit an 18-month high amid concerns about global supplies. While those fears have abated, prices continue to linger close to those highs.
Australian wheat exports this season are expected to nearly double from last year, the Australian Bureau of Agricultural and Resource Economics and Sciences said in…